Followers of Newcastle United are more and more regarding Eddie Howe's side as an inconsistent companion. At their brilliant best, they prove to be the very thrill-seekers, unleashing high-octane exhibitions. However, in other matches, previously reliable individuals like their midfield linchpin and others simply fail to appear.
Compounding the frustration is a late-game approach laced with a distinct tendency of panic. Ahead of their Boxing Day to Manchester United, the statistics tell a sobering tale: the team has let slip 13 vital Premier League leverage from leading situations this season and are without a clean sheet in ten straight matches across all competitions. Securing three points at Old Trafford would constitute only their second-ever domestic triumph on the travel this year.
In contrast, defeat has been tasted once in their most recent 6 Premier League encounters, and despite sitting in a seemingly lowly eleventh spot, they remain a mere 6 marks behind the highly-prized top four. Consider an impending two-legged League Cup last-four clash against the reigning champions and a reasonable opportunity of advancing to the European Cup last 16, and it becomes easier to see the manager's measured optimism.
“It's not only about issues,” stated the team's head coach. “You can see assets too. The perspective here is very much optimistic currently. I know outside observers may hold a different take, but I feel we're getting better.”
The puzzle remains: will this squad recreate – or even surpass – the successes of last season's cup glory and fifth-place finish? Juggling a packed calendar hinders.
The resulting fatigue might explain the inability to uphold a stellar opening 45-minute showing versus their London rivals, ultimately surrendering a two-goal advantage to draw the game. Likewise, it could be the explanation for a poor display in a damaging loss to arch-rivals the Black Cats, where the side looked off the pace just a short time after a tough European away day.
Although on-field instruction is clearly Howe's specialty, the constant grind of two games a week football has severely limited crucial practice hours. This impedes the team's tactical adjustment to playing with new striker Nick Woltemade up front, rather than the now departed Alexander Isak. Although immensely talented, the German forward does not possess the same blistering counter-attacking pace or intense pressing.
In fact, the team's previously effective high press has sporadically broken down. Injuries to vital cog the Brazilian midfielder have exacerbated matters, while expensive signings Anthony Elanga and Jacob Ramsey have had difficulties settling since their combined £90m+ moves.
While a switch to a 3-5-2 could theoretically help the cause, a worsening defensive injury crisis renders that problematic. Important full-backs will be absent for the upcoming key fixtures, straining the squad's resilience.
At their energetic best, they seem almost unstoppable. The catch is sustaining that intensity for the full 90 minutes. The typical alternative approach of sitting back into a passive defensive shape has at times proven counterproductive.
“That match descended into anarchic at 2-2,” admitted the manager. “However the intention was going for the victory. Our mentality is to always try to win.”
What seems called for is a pragmatic solution – involving better ball control, a midfield adept of dictating the pace, and a sensible willingness to occasionally accept a draw. Yet, a ambition to challenge on all fronts is stretching limited player resources to their breaking point.
It may appear heretical to some, but a different approach in the cup competitions earlier could have alleviated the present fixture congestion. With critical European & league matches on the horizon, the imperative to carefully choose focus areas is becoming increasingly clear.
Eddie Howe recognized the size of the task ahead. “Being involved a club of this size, the expectations are immense. Each game is pivotal. We have work to do in the league. We are in the League Cup semi-finals, we aim to progress in the Champions League and perform in the FA Cup.
“The direction is in the correct path, but we have a great deal of improvement to do to become the regularly successful side we want to be. The ability to string together winning runs has escaped us this season.
“The task is to hit those heights we know we're capable of. The internal belief is that the assurance to do that is returning. Yet now we have to prove it. It ain't all bad in this moment, but the coming period will decide a lot.”
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